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May 15, 2005

Sound familiar?

I wrote the other day that I wanted to put the negativity aside temporarily and enjoy the Bucs' current streak of good fortune. That still holds, especially since the team began its current home stretch off right by taking two of three from the Brewers. The team is playing good ball and its actually fun to tune into the team's games again.

Still, something came up in my internet news reading that I felt was rather interesting. The Lawrence Journal-World asked baseball analyst and Red Sox senior advisor (not to mention Lawrence resident) Bill James to analyze how the Royals have come to the sad situation they currently find themselves. His answer is interesting because it applies, almost verbatim, to the Pirates organization over the last decade. Here's his summary:

So ... my opinion, there are five reasons the Royals are where they are:


1) The economics of the game are stacked against smaller cities.


2) They have drafted relatively poorly in the last 10 years.


3) In the early- to mid-'90s, the Royals didn't know a ballplayer from a skeet shooter and committed themselves to staving off ruin by bringing in a long series of fading stars. This caused the base of the organization to crumble, which increased the financial pressures on the team, putting them in a position from which they never have recovered.


4) When the Royals have had young players that they could not afford to keep, they have uniformly failed to acquire value in exchange. The worst example of this was last year with the Carlos Beltran trade.


5) The Royals have been unable to identify and acquire the kind of affordable, decent journeymen players who could serve as a tourniquet on the organization.

The names may be different, but he might as well be talking about the Pirates.

May 12, 2005

Restovich's Redemption?

It was perhaps inevitable that Michael Restovich would don a Pirates uniform. When he was with the Twins, several rumors had Restovich being shipped to the Bucs, most notably in a package for Kris Benson. This spring, when it became readily apparent that Restovich days with the Twins organization were coming to an end, the Bucs were again a rumored destination. When he was released he was gobbled up by the Devil Rays, who jettisoned him almost immediately after signing him. The Rockies came calling next, but wouldn't keep him long -- he was designated for assignment earlier this week. A simple PTBNL trade later and Restovich is a Pirate.

I had been hoping that the Bucs would take a flyer on Restovich for some time. He seemed to be just the kind of player the Bucs should be targeting -- cheap, available and possessing possible upside. Of course, those three ingredients rarely go together, kind of like spinach, tabasco and marshmallows. Cheap and available players are easy to find (the Pirates have a number of those kind of players on speed dial), but that last ingredient is the tricky part. As Kris Benson's new contract demonstrated, potential can be costly.

Restovich has got potential, but that potential has been offset by some glaring weaknesses. He has big-time power. But he also has a tendency to strike out... a lot. He just hasn't shown he can capitalize enough on his tantalizing power to warrant a roster spot.

To be fair, he really hasn't been given a proper chance to show whether or not he belongs in the major leagues. Despite playing in AAA since 2002, Restovich only earned 113 major league at bats with the Twins. The frustration of stalling at a level can take a toll on a players, and it certainly took a toll on Restovich. In 2002, he hit .286 with a .896 OPS (including 29 homers) for AAA Edmonton. On the downside, he also struck out a career high 151 times. He earned a cup of coffee that season (a whopping 13 ABs). The following season he hit .275 witha .811 OPS (16 homers) for AAA Rochester. He also cut his K's down to 117. That year he got 53 ABs for Minnesota. Last season, he hit .249 with a 744 OPS (20 homers) for Rochester. A disappointing season, but he did manage to cut his strikeouts again, this time to 103. The Twins gave him 47 more at bats at the major league level.

For players of Restovich's caliber, playing time is sometimes as much a matter of circumstance as it is skill. Restovich certainly has holes in his game, but his stalled development had as much to do with the team he played for as it did his ability (or lack thereof). For the last several years, the Twins have been contenders. And as such, giving a young player enough at bats to see if he can sink or swim just wasn't an option. Sure, the Twins gave plenty of young players an opportunity, but it usually was to players who had undeniable talent (i.e. Joe Maurer or Justin Morneau), who were useful role players (i.e. Lew Ford, Nick Punto), or who filled on open position (i.e. Michael Cuddyer). Restovich filled none of these criteria. He was not a "can't miss" type of guy. He lacked the well-rounded overall skills to be a useful bench player and he played a position that the Twins were particularly deep at. Barring some kind of spectacular display in one of his brief auditions, he was never going to crack the Twin's lineup.

That's not to say that Restovich was particularly bad in his brief cups of coffee. Quite the opposite. He actually has compiled a .278 batting average and .806 OPS in his brief major league career (144 ABs). That ain't shabby. The problem is, he rarely displayed his one plus tool, his power. He hit only 4 homeruns in that limited playing time. Not bad for a player getting his feet wet, but not enough to open the eyes of his former employers.

Ironically, if Restovich had been brought up in the Pirates' system, his career would have probably been much different. He probably would have been inserted in the lineup full-time in 2003 or 2004 (maybe even earlier). It is highly likely he would have seen extensive major league playing time over the last three years. Heck, the organization gave players a lot less talented a shot.

Well, it's a moot point now, because Restovich is now a Bucco. Thanks to the injury to Craig Wilson, he should finally get some consistent at bats. It will be interesting to see what he can do with them. I think he has a shot at sticking with this team, especially if he gets into some kind of comfort zone. Now, I'm not going to getting carried away here. I am not expecting Restovich to be some kind of savior. Let's face it, saviors rarely get cut from two of the worst teams in the league in a matter of weeks. Furthermore, it is entirely possible that Restovich could put up a season comparable to what Rob Mackowiak put up last year -- namely low average, high strikeouts and moderate power. That's hardly a recipe for an All-Star player.

Despite all that, I am intrigued by the Restovich trade. He offers something that is few and far between in the Steel City -- tantalizing possibility. It may not pan out, but you can't roll Yahtzee without a set of dice. I say, let 'em roll.

May 11, 2005

May Powers

After a dismal April that appeared to be a bleak glimpse of things to come, the Bucs have finally started to show some signs of life. Today's solid 7-2 victory over the San Francisco Giants put the finishing touches on an impressive 7-3 ten game road trip. The bats have started to come alive -- the team averaged nearly six runs a game on the trip -- and the defense showed a marked improvement. Some of the most impressive glove-work came from the fresh-off-the-DL Jose Castillo, who has begun his own personal Web Gem highlight reel. All in all, the good play helped rid some of the bitter after taste left over from April.

That's not to say all is happy and bright in Pirate-land. The offense has improved, but the lineup still sports several players vying to become the next Mario Mendoza. The team will have to do without Craig Wilson, one of it's few power threats, for about two months. Not to mention that its ace is on the shelf for at least a week with some troublesome arm problems.

But now is not the time for negativity. Being a Pirate fans means you must practice tunnel vision. Enduring over a decade of losing has taught me that you must learn to savor the moment when a good stretch comes along. Recent history dictates that it will not usually hang around for long.

So with tunnel vision firmly in place, what's next? The Bucs return to PNC, where unfortunately the home cooking has not agreed too well with them. The Bucs are 3-9 at home this season. However, they face three beatable teams (Milwaukee, Chicago and Colorado) during the upcoming eight game home swing. It's not a cake walk by any stretch of the imagination, but a 5-3 record over that span is not out of the question. That would put the team one game under .500 -- not too shabby.

After that? A trip to St. Louis and a possible end to the party. But it's silly to dwell on such things. For now, let's enjoy the fact that the black and gold are playing some good baseball.

May 9, 2005

Oh, the Irony

So the Benito Santiago era ended after 6 games and 23 at bats. When the Bucs first dealt for the aging backstop, I had commented that, in the end, the deal would be of little consequence because I felt that neither Santiago nor Leo Nunez would have any significant impact on their new teams. Well, half of that prophecy proved correct.

Now, a mere day after Benito was handed his walking papers, Leo Nunez has been called up from AA to fill a roster spot for the Kansas City Royals. No matter how long Nunez stays on the big league roster, and no matter how much (or little) he contributes, the Royals come out of this looking like geniuses. They dump a 40 year old catcher (and erase the mistake they had made signing him in the first place) and pick up a 21 year old hurler that can throw gas.

When I initially assessed the deal, I figured that Nunez would probably have little major league value. I am still not sold on his ultimate upside. I think he projects as a middle reliever or setup guy. I he reaches his potential, he could be a Juan Rincon-type (sans the juice). If he falters, he will be one of many fireballers who couldn't cut it at the major league level. Regardless, no matter what he does, he already will pay better dividends for the Royals than the Santiago will pay for the Bucs. In fact, the Bucs are the ones doing the paying, as they are on the hook for $900,000 of Santiago's salary.

Moves like this are becoming a bit of a trademark for GM Dave Littlefield. Two years ago, Littlefield traded Chris Young and Jon Searles for Matt Herges only to discard Herges a couple of months later. Herges never even played a game for the home team. Young later moved onto the Texas Rangers and has been establishing himself as a decent pitcher. In fact, in a yet another irony, he pitched quite a gem this evening.

Odds are, Nunez would have had a hard time making an impact for the Bucs. In an organization stocked with arms, he would have likely ended up the victim of a numbers game and been shipped out. But that's hardly the point. When you are a small market team, giving away talent is the worst sin you can commit, and the organization seems to be making a habit of it.

Bucs Get A Serious Case of the Runs

Been tied up with work lately, but I couldn't resist dropping a puerile headline to let off some steam. Plus, after more than a month of scrapping to put runs on the board, it was nice to see the Bucs hit double digits. Too bad they couldn't stay in Arizona for while longer -- I doubt SBC Park will be so accommodating.